Searching for answers
Are NZ advertisers really receiving the best service from their agencies?
New Zealand advertisers are poorly represented in what is, in most cases, the most cost effective channel to market that there is. Overseas, online marketing has rightfully established itself as the fastest growing marketing channel and mandatory in marketing budgets. Within online, search marketing is the fastest growing channel and now accounts for more than 50 per cent of the online spend. How does New Zealand fare in comparison?
| Country | Online % | Search % of online | Search % of total | Spend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK | 20% | 59% | 11.8% | £2b |
| US | 17% | 57% | 9.7% | US$11.3b |
| AU | 13% | 50% | 6.5% | A$850m |
| NZ | 8% | 31% | 2.4% | NZ$59.8m |
This begs two questions—why are online budgets so small and why does search have so little share of online?
It is not as if we are less savvy or connected compared to other nations nor can it really be blamed on broadband penetration as often touted by some.
Taking 2008 figures from the OECD, NZ compares favourably in terms of overall internet connectivity and has now passed over 20 per cent in terms of broadband.
| Country | % Connected | % Broadband |
|---|---|---|
| UK | 71.8% | 28.5% |
| US | 74.7% | 25.8% |
| AU | 80.6% | 25.4% |
| NZ | 80.5% | 21.9% |
For larger advertisers, agencies certainly seem to decide how the overall budgets are sliced and diced and there seems to still be an over familiarity with old style advertising, such that online is an afterthought, not a mandatory thought. This is reflected in the fact that while online ranks 2nd or 3rd in terms of overall marketing spend in the UK, US and AU, it still ranks only 6th in NZ, behind billboards.
This data is also reinforced by the recent Forbes study into what C Level executives believe are the more valuable channels. Internet 1, Print 4, TV 8.
Is online really that hard, or are people just too comfortable with the status quo, or is the truth just simply not out there enough? Education of the marketplace certainly seems to be a challenge and advertisers are paying the price.

Is it the fact that online is actually measurable and thus makes agencies accountable? After all, how many advertising awards are there for actual results, rather than creative excellence? Could it be that there is less agency margin in online? Or is it that for some of the key decision makers, TV and print is what they know best? It’s not that these do not have a significant part to play, it is the over reliance on them that is telling.
Or is it the high profile failures? Think Flying Pig and Ferrit—online strategies deployed with an above-the-line mentality and offline marketing strategies.
Whatever the reason, the change will come to NZ and those organisations that recognise the opportunity online can make some early gains.
Click cliques
So, what’s the story online? Where do visitors actually come from and what do they do when they arrive at the site?
The beauty of online marketing is that it is immediate, measureable and flexible, yet it is our experience that many organisations and agencies are not exploiting online effectively.
If we look at some research, the most effective channels stick out like a sore thumb.
Attracting visitors to your website is the first challenge, we should also consider the effectiveness of each of the digital channels in terms of delivering web traffic that converts these visitors.
Forbes data suggests an interesting insight into results versus expectations for different online campaigns.
Quite clearly, search (SEO and SEM) sit in places 1 and 2 and display is last. Overseas, we have clearly seen a shift in spend from the non-performing online channels such as display to proven performance channels, most notably search.
This is reinforced by the view of C Level executives in the US about the effectiveness of online channels, again search in top place, more than 400 per cent more effective compared to ad networks.
Track and trace
One of the fundamentals that all marketing managers and senior executives should insist on is accurate measurement and reporting. There really is no excuse today as reporting systems, such as Google Analytics, are quite capable of delivering marketers with a wealth of data about the effectiveness of different online channels, not just search. Even where some form of analytics package is in place, reporting is often misinformed or misrepresented due to a general lack of understanding, meaning that apples are rarely compared with apples. The most common misrepresentation is that of post-impression tracking, potentially a gross over-representation of the effectiveness of certain types of online advertising due to the common lack of a comparison control group.
Consider a simple example: over the last month you may have seen hundreds of different banners on hundreds of different websites, but can you even name more than 10? Yet, post-impression tracking will “claim” any sale you make online to any of those advertisers – in some cases for up to 90 days into the future. This is regardless of what you would have purchased anyway and is not dependent upon whether you even saw the banner as a lot of these appear below the fold of the webpage, let alone actually clicked on the banner. It is in this manner that banner effectiveness is grossly overstated compared to other channels. Compare that to search, where you have specifically entered a query yourself and then clicked through to a website. Studies have shown that post-impression tracking without a control group is often 200 times overstated. Look at this recent example I read about from Australia. In this instance, the search organisation had taken over an account and recorded the following:
With cookie windows of up to 60 days this introduces a high level of bias into reports. But today the problem goes deeper, some digital media plans are unethically designed to introduce a cookie spraying methodology into the media plan. Cookie spraying is a deliberate tactic to buy as much low performing, low placement, cheap remnant digital inventory as possible. This type of media strategy can ensure upwards of 70% of an available Internet population (e.g. Australian internet users) always have a cookie on their machine. In some instances, I’ve seen a single client drop 4 billion post impression cookies in a 12 month period, with only 13 million active Internet users in Australia you do the math. So a user may never ever click, engage or even see a brands ad, navigate to the brands site either by direct entry of another medium (e.g. Search) and the value is attributed on a post impression basis to an advertising / media plan that had little or no effect on consumer behavior.
So, where does that leave us, apart from paying too much for too little
Well, the tide will eventually reach NZ, but for now can I ask that marketers demand certain answers from their agencies?
- What is our online strategy?
- Are we spending on our money on the highest return channels?
- Can you prove it?
- What key performance indicators are we measuring?
- What reporting tool are we using to measure these?
- What measurement system was used to record the conversions?
- Are the conversion numbers based on successful conversions only?
- Were search conversions attributed to the last cookie only (last-click)?
- Was the measurement based on post-click or post-impression? Or was a blended metric of post-impression and post-click used?
- Were the number of conversions reported unique (1-conversion-per-click) or where these transactions non-unique (many-conversions-per-click)?
- If unique, what was the timeframe in which the conversions are treated as unique?
- Was the CPA inclusive/exclusive of GST, and inclusive/exclusive of agency margins?





Kevin Francis is CEO of First Rate, a 

























Ryf Quail
September 11, 2009
Good article however there is one thing that it didn’t address. The connection between offline media and search. From our research (with global research firm, Jupiter Research) 67% of search engine users are drivento search by an offline channel.
If you are not thinking about your whole media schedule when you undertaking a search programme you may be missing a very big opportunity!
Cheers
Michael Sandlant
September 11, 2009
An excellent summary of the facts. Why do we have a problem, is it related to the business structure and infrastructure in NZ.
I wrote an article which explains it better:
http://www.firstsearch.co.nz/fundamentals-marketing-2.html
Kevin
September 11, 2009
Hi Rhys,
Yes, we have referenced that research before. We do have a slightly different view on some parts of it though.
There is certainly a correlation between both non branded and branded search and offline media, ie people see a brand / product offline, remember the brand name and then type that into Google.
Is the research you refer to the 2007 study in the US, which seemed to include word of mouth as entirely attributable to offline media? I certainly do not agree that word of mouth should be entirely an offline claim. Many word of mouth recommendations could come from an online experience, is that really an offline score?
The question itself is also somewhat loaded and lends to an over exaggeration of the statistics, how many of these users would have searched anyway? By its nature, people go searching when they need something, I don’t for one minute believe that 65% of people are driven to conduct searches due to offline advertising. The question refers to promptors of search behaviour, yet the headline uses the word drivers. I would have used a stronger word such as drivers in the question to draw a fair comparison. Or a qualifying question such as “Did offline media drive you to make a search today?” It’s a bit like my point regarding post impression tracking, where is the control group?? You should have asked the same people whether they would have made the search regardless of hearing anything offline, that is the TRUE measure of the offline diference.
I would also really like to see the graphs / stats separating out brand and non brand.
I’m certainly not suggesting that offline is not significant, just that online is way too far behind the 8 ball and deserves to be taken more seriously than it is.
Vincent Heeringa
September 15, 2009
Speaking as a niche media owner, it seems to me that the most effective online advertising is the kind that you see on this and similar community sites: highly contextualised, integrated into the content, adding value to the user and finding ways to help the publisher grow the business.
I’d call it sponsorship, but who cares what it’s called. For one thing it gets us away from the hairsplitting analysis that you (very knowledgeable) nerds are engaged in above; second, it allows advertisers to be a valued (not annoying) part of a community.
Kevin
September 17, 2009
Why thank you, Vincent. I’ve never really qualified for the nerd label before.
Surely the most effective online advertising is the one that delivers the advertiser the best result, but I must remind myself that you’re a publisher and hence somewhat biased perchance.
Vincent Heeringa
September 17, 2009
Biased? I deny it! More like commited, as with the pig in bacon and eggs.
Your ‘best result’ requires definition. How do you define it?
Kevin
September 17, 2009
Best result is not defined by me, it’s defined by the client.
Which is part of the point.
What result is the client wanting to achieve from the particular marketing spend? If this is not being set and measured against, then how will you know if you have succeeded or failed?
Once you know what the client considers a successful outcome, then you target your advertising to the media that offer the best result.
All too often, however, agencies are not engaged in this measurement and reporting process and it is the client that ultimately pays the price of advertising on poorly performing media.
Vincent Heeringa
September 30, 2009
This article really is top notch. I’m going to run a summarised version in the next issue of Marketing magazine. Is that okay, Kevin?
Kevin
October 6, 2009
Thank you for the compliment, Vincent. That would be fine.
Kevin
Ryf Quail
October 8, 2009
I didn’t realise my interaction was going to create such banter between you two.
Very enlightening
2 things:
1) the stat is 67% of search engine users not people.
2) my name is spelt Ryf
Look forward to having a beer soon.
Antonio Ciccia
October 20, 2009
Very interesting article Kevin, thanks for the insights. Either way it is a very exciting time for Search in both NZ & Australia.
All the best in the new role!
Cheers,
Antonio